The probability for the first unanimous preseason number one ranked team in college football history winning this years College Football Playoff, increased after their first win in 2015, and it will continue to increase with each subsequent victory as the season goes on.
The ESPN FPI (Football Power Index) gives them a 44.6 percent chance to win out the rest of their games. The next closest team is Baylor at 14.1 percent. According to the World Wide Leader’s website, it says the FPI “is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season.” Whatever that’s worth.
The FPI also gives the Buckeyes the highest probability of all teams with conference ties, to win their conference at 72.3 percent. Boise State comes in second with a 72.1 percent chance to win the Mountain West.
The question now is, what will keep them focused—and humble—to finish 2015 with back to back national titles? I have a suggestion, look no farther back than the 2006 Buckeyes, a team that Head Coach Urban Meyer knows very well.
The 2006 squad also started the season number one, in the coaches poll, and held on to that ranking all season. The Jim Tressel led team beat four top 25 teams on the way to a 12-0 regular season, winning games by an average of 21.8 points per game.
When the final BCS Poll came out after their victory over the number two ranked Michigan Wolverines, the Scarlet and Gray became the first team in the history of the BCS to score a perfect 1.000. Quarterback Troy Smith was the early season, and wire to wire favorite to win the Heisman trophy. He ended up taking home the “bronze stiff arm” by the greatest margin in the history of the award.Ohio State entered the 2007 BCS National Championship game as 7.5 point favorites over then Florida Head Coach, Urban Meyer’s Gators, and the lead up to the game was a coronation to the Buckeyes. Analyst were discussing their place in the annals of history, and trying to figure out where Coach Tressel would rank as one of the greatest college coaches of all time by adding another title to the five he already captured—he won four NCAA I-AA Championships at Youngstown State.
But, we all know how the story ended on that January night in Glendale Arizona for Buckeye Nation, a 41-14 loss. It was one of the greatest disappointments in the program’s history.
Show this high powered 2015 team the 2006 Buckeye team’s successes, and epic disappointment. That should be enough to keep this year’s unanimous choice to be National Champions focused on making history and capturing another gold trophy.